HarrisX Overnight Poll_July 28 to Aug 02 2024_V2

This survey was conducted online within the United States via the HarrisX Overnight Poll. Respondents for the HarrisX Overnight Poll are recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs though a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods. The results reflect a nationally representative sample of registered voters. Results were weighted for age, gender, region, race/ethnicity, income, political party, education, ideology and area type where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online. The margin of error for the total sample is +/- XXX percentage points.

TQ6: Do you think the country is generally on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Right track

26%

24%

27%

27%

9%

47%

21%

8%

26%

23%

27%

31%

30%

13%

23%

21%

15%

9%

46%

12%

54%

43%

25%

13%

13%

29%

16%

9%

49%

5%

30%

22%

24%

26%

26%

27%

21%

27%

25%

25%

27%

27%

22%

27%

24%

27%

25%

23%

37%

28%

33%

20%

23%

24%

28%

31%

10%

24%

22%

32%

29%

26%

21%

15%

29%

19%

28%

24%

23%

30%

22%

29%

25%

21%

23%

18%

26%

29%

31%

Wrong track

62%

64%

61%

61%

86%

38%

65%

52%

63%

54%

64%

57%

51%

65%

65%

60%

55%

85%

47%

63%

34%

42%

57%

79%

84%

63%

60%

87%

38%

81%

61%

63%

55%

61%

65%

64%

54%

59%

61%

67%

63%

64%

54%

60%

66%

64%

60%

67%

46%

58%

55%

59%

62%

66%

63%

60%

61%

55%

66%

58%

62%

56%

68%

75%

58%

70%

59%

63%

65%

58%

58%

60%

63%

64%

66%

69%

62%

61%

56%

Unsure/Don't know

12%

12%

12%

12%

5%

15%

14%

40%

11%

22%

8%

12%

19%

23%

12%

19%

30%

6%

7%

25%

12%

15%

17%

8%

3%

8%

24%

3%

13%

14%

9%

15%

21%

13%

9%

9%

25%

15%

14%

9%

10%

9%

24%

13%

10%

9%

15%

10%

17%

15%

12%

21%

15%

10%

9%

9%

29%

21%

12%

10%

9%

18%

10%

11%

14%

11%

13%

13%

11%

12%

20%

11%

12%

15%

11%

13%

11%

10%

13%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

TQ1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as president of the United States?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

TOP 2 BOX

41%

40%

42%

40%

8%

80%

34%

12%

41%

35%

43%

48%

32%

27%

24%

38%

34%

15%

67%

26%

77%

75%

43%

16%

17%

45%

28%

10%

80%

16%

40%

42%

41%

40%

40%

43%

36%

43%

41%

37%

41%

43%

39%

41%

38%

44%

41%

36%

56%

47%

46%

28%

41%

37%

41%

45%

20%

34%

36%

49%

43%

41%

38%

30%

43%

34%

43%

43%

35%

47%

47%

43%

44%

39%

38%

29%

33%

42%

49%

Strongly approve

18%

18%

19%

17%

4%

41%

7%

2%

18%

14%

22%

11%

6%

8%

4%

8%

12%

2%

19%

4%

52%

31%

14%

6%

11%

21%

8%

5%

38%

4%

19%

17%

14%

18%

17%

23%

11%

17%

19%

14%

19%

23%

13%

18%

16%

21%

23%

17%

26%

17%

14%

10%

17%

16%

15%

23%

13%

12%

15%

24%

21%

18%

17%

6%

20%

8%

20%

15%

16%

23%

20%

21%

16%

12%

18%

13%

14%

18%

26%

Somewhat approve

23%

21%

24%

23%

5%

39%

27%

10%

23%

21%

21%

37%

27%

20%

20%

31%

22%

13%

48%

22%

25%

44%

28%

10%

6%

24%

19%

5%

42%

12%

20%

25%

26%

22%

22%

21%

25%

25%

22%

23%

22%

21%

26%

23%

22%

22%

18%

19%

31%

30%

32%

18%

25%

21%

26%

22%

7%

22%

21%

25%

22%

24%

21%

24%

23%

26%

23%

28%

19%

23%

27%

22%

29%

27%

20%

17%

20%

24%

23%

Somewhat disapprove

15%

15%

15%

15%

12%

13%

23%

15%

15%

17%

11%

22%

36%

25%

33%

32%

15%

18%

17%

30%

7%

16%

20%

17%

7%

13%

23%

11%

13%

28%

14%

16%

20%

19%

14%

9%

19%

22%

18%

16%

11%

9%

20%

20%

16%

9%

10%

14%

19%

17%

19%

20%

15%

14%

17%

14%

20%

18%

17%

13%

13%

17%

14%

24%

10%

20%

18%

13%

15%

15%

19%

17%

13%

14%

16%

12%

15%

15%

15%

Strongly disapprove

40%

41%

39%

39%

78%

5%

35%

29%

40%

37%

45%

27%

21%

34%

26%

21%

30%

65%

12%

30%

14%

6%

29%

65%

75%

41%

35%

78%

6%

43%

43%

37%

31%

34%

43%

46%

35%

27%

36%

44%

43%

46%

31%

32%

43%

44%

49%

47%

18%

28%

29%

37%

36%

45%

41%

40%

39%

33%

42%

37%

42%

34%

44%

36%

44%

40%

35%

40%

45%

34%

31%

36%

39%

43%

42%

53%

47%

39%

31%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

55%

55%

54%

54%

90%

18%

58%

45%

55%

54%

56%

49%

57%

59%

60%

53%

45%

83%

29%

60%

21%

22%

49%

82%

82%

54%

58%

89%

19%

71%

57%

53%

51%

53%

57%

55%

54%

49%

54%

60%

55%

55%

52%

52%

59%

54%

59%

60%

38%

45%

49%

57%

52%

59%

57%

54%

59%

51%

59%

49%

55%

51%

58%

60%

54%

61%

53%

53%

60%

49%

50%

53%

52%

57%

58%

65%

62%

54%

46%

Unsure/Don't know

4%

5%

3%

5%

1%

2%

8%

44%

4%

11%

1%

3%

11%

14%

16%

9%

21%

2%

4%

14%

2%

3%

8%

2%

2%

1%

14%

1%

1%

13%

3%

6%

9%

7%

3%

1%

10%

9%

5%

3%

4%

1%

9%

6%

4%

3%

0%

3%

6%

8%

5%

15%

7%

4%

2%

1%

21%

15%

5%

2%

2%

8%

4%

10%

3%

5%

4%

4%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

5%

6%

5%

4%

5%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

TQVP: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as vice president of the United States?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

TOP 2 BOX

46%

44%

48%

45%

11%

86%

40%

21%

46%

42%

46%

52%

46%

31%

23%

55%

46%

16%

77%

32%

80%

82%

50%

18%

18%

48%

39%

11%

84%

17%

43%

48%

50%

47%

43%

44%

46%

52%

47%

43%

44%

44%

48%

50%

43%

44%

41%

41%

62%

55%

49%

30%

47%

42%

43%

47%

34%

46%

43%

49%

45%

49%

42%

43%

44%

44%

49%

45%

40%

53%

54%

48%

46%

42%

42%

35%

39%

50%

54%

Strongly approve

23%

23%

24%

21%

4%

50%

12%

6%

23%

19%

27%

15%

14%

10%

2%

14%

19%

3%

28%

8%

58%

41%

21%

6%

12%

26%

14%

5%

47%

10%

23%

23%

19%

23%

22%

27%

15%

21%

25%

21%

24%

27%

17%

23%

22%

26%

26%

20%

34%

27%

18%

14%

24%

21%

20%

25%

15%

26%

20%

27%

25%

24%

22%

12%

22%

16%

26%

20%

19%

29%

25%

26%

21%

18%

19%

17%

22%

27%

30%

Somewhat approve

23%

21%

24%

23%

6%

36%

28%

15%

23%

22%

19%

37%

32%

21%

21%

41%

27%

13%

49%

24%

22%

41%

29%

11%

6%

22%

24%

7%

37%

7%

21%

24%

31%

24%

21%

17%

31%

30%

22%

22%

20%

17%

30%

27%

21%

19%

15%

20%

28%

28%

30%

16%

23%

21%

24%

22%

19%

20%

23%

22%

20%

25%

21%

31%

22%

28%

23%

24%

20%

24%

29%

22%

24%

25%

23%

18%

18%

24%

24%

Somewhat disapprove

11%

10%

12%

11%

12%

6%

16%

12%

11%

11%

8%

17%

19%

16%

38%

19%

11%

17%

14%

17%

6%

7%

14%

16%

5%

9%

16%

10%

8%

23%

11%

11%

14%

14%

10%

7%

14%

14%

14%

11%

9%

7%

16%

14%

11%

7%

9%

10%

11%

12%

15%

10%

10%

11%

11%

11%

9%

10%

11%

11%

10%

11%

11%

13%

11%

14%

11%

11%

11%

10%

10%

12%

11%

12%

12%

9%

11%

8%

11%

Strongly disapprove

37%

40%

35%

35%

75%

4%

31%

27%

37%

34%

42%

24%

19%

32%

23%

14%

23%

60%

2%

29%

10%

6%

24%

62%

75%

39%

28%

76%

4%

39%

41%

33%

23%

29%

42%

46%

27%

22%

31%

41%

42%

46%

25%

26%

41%

44%

49%

44%

14%

25%

26%

44%

33%

41%

40%

37%

34%

26%

39%

35%

40%

30%

42%

29%

41%

36%

33%

36%

42%

31%

29%

34%

37%

36%

39%

49%

43%

37%

28%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

47%

49%

47%

46%

86%

10%

47%

40%

48%

45%

50%

41%

38%

48%

61%

33%

35%

78%

16%

46%

16%

13%

38%

78%

80%

49%

44%

86%

12%

63%

51%

44%

37%

43%

51%

53%

41%

36%

45%

52%

51%

53%

41%

40%

51%

51%

59%

54%

25%

37%

41%

54%

43%

52%

51%

49%

42%

36%

50%

46%

50%

40%

52%

43%

52%

50%

44%

48%

53%

41%

39%

46%

47%

48%

50%

57%

54%

45%

39%

Unsure/Don't know

7%

7%

5%

9%

3%

4%

13%

40%

7%

13%

3%

7%

16%

21%

15%

12%

20%

7%

7%

22%

4%

5%

12%

5%

3%

4%

17%

3%

4%

20%

5%

9%

13%

9%

5%

3%

13%

12%

8%

6%

5%

3%

12%

10%

6%

5%

0%

5%

13%

8%

11%

16%

9%

6%

5%

4%

24%

18%

7%

5%

5%

11%

6%

15%

4%

6%

6%

8%

7%

6%

7%

6%

7%

10%

8%

8%

7%

4%

7%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

TQGov: Do you approve or disapprove of the job "..." is doing as governor of "..."?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

TOP 2 BOX

53%

53%

53%

52%

53%

60%

46%

18%

53%

49%

56%

55%

45%

32%

46%

41%

44%

45%

51%

43%

60%

55%

49%

50%

59%

57%

40%

54%

61%

28%

56%

50%

43%

53%

54%

58%

42%

48%

53%

53%

54%

58%

43%

51%

54%

56%

61%

55%

48%

47%

48%

34%

49%

54%

57%

57%

37%

47%

49%

59%

59%

47%

51%

37%

48%

53%

52%

53%

54%

51%

54%

51%

53%

53%

54%

59%

52%

55%

49%

Strongly approve

25%

27%

25%

24%

28%

32%

14%

9%

25%

22%

29%

18%

12%

13%

9%

12%

20%

13%

17%

13%

39%

27%

18%

20%

39%

28%

16%

27%

30%

15%

28%

23%

19%

25%

26%

29%

18%

20%

27%

24%

27%

29%

19%

24%

25%

28%

31%

27%

24%

24%

15%

21%

23%

27%

24%

29%

21%

19%

23%

30%

29%

23%

26%

14%

19%

19%

22%

22%

30%

24%

18%

23%

22%

22%

30%

28%

30%

25%

23%

Somewhat approve

28%

27%

28%

28%

25%

28%

32%

9%

28%

27%

27%

37%

33%

19%

36%

30%

24%

32%

34%

30%

21%

28%

31%

30%

20%

29%

24%

27%

31%

13%

28%

27%

24%

28%

28%

29%

24%

28%

26%

29%

27%

29%

24%

27%

29%

28%

30%

29%

24%

23%

32%

14%

26%

27%

33%

28%

15%

28%

26%

29%

29%

25%

25%

22%

29%

34%

30%

31%

25%

27%

35%

28%

32%

31%

24%

31%

23%

31%

26%

Somewhat disapprove

14%

13%

16%

13%

14%

12%

15%

16%

14%

13%

13%

17%

20%

20%

21%

16%

13%

12%

19%

15%

9%

15%

15%

15%

11%

13%

15%

13%

14%

19%

12%

15%

18%

15%

12%

12%

20%

16%

15%

11%

13%

12%

19%

15%

12%

12%

15%

13%

17%

16%

18%

5%

15%

15%

11%

14%

11%

17%

14%

13%

12%

15%

14%

19%

15%

16%

15%

16%

12%

14%

14%

16%

17%

14%

12%

12%

12%

13%

14%

Strongly disapprove

23%

24%

23%

24%

27%

19%

24%

20%

24%

14%

26%

16%

22%

21%

13%

20%

16%

36%

19%

19%

21%

22%

20%

27%

28%

25%

18%

29%

20%

43%

25%

22%

16%

21%

26%

26%

13%

20%

22%

27%

25%

26%

15%

20%

25%

27%

23%

23%

22%

26%

20%

39%

22%

23%

25%

25%

25%

19%

24%

22%

24%

20%

27%

23%

28%

21%

23%

23%

22%

26%

20%

24%

23%

22%

22%

15%

26%

20%

29%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

37%

36%

39%

37%

41%

32%

39%

37%

38%

27%

39%

33%

42%

40%

34%

36%

29%

48%

38%

34%

31%

37%

36%

43%

39%

38%

33%

42%

34%

63%

37%

37%

35%

36%

38%

39%

33%

36%

36%

38%

38%

39%

34%

36%

38%

39%

38%

36%

39%

42%

38%

44%

36%

38%

36%

39%

36%

36%

39%

35%

36%

35%

41%

42%

44%

37%

39%

39%

34%

40%

34%

40%

40%

36%

34%

27%

38%

33%

43%

Unsure/Don't know

10%

10%

8%

11%

5%

8%

15%

46%

9%

23%

5%

11%

14%

28%

20%

23%

27%

7%

11%

23%

10%

9%

15%

7%

2%

5%

26%

4%

5%

10%

7%

13%

22%

11%

8%

3%

25%

16%

10%

9%

8%

3%

23%

13%

9%

5%

1%

9%

13%

11%

15%

22%

15%

8%

7%

4%

28%

17%

12%

5%

5%

17%

8%

22%

8%

10%

10%

8%

12%

9%

12%

9%

7%

11%

12%

14%

10%

12%

8%

Unweighted Sample

3,195

1,074

1,065

1,056

1,172

1,188

735

100

3,012

183

2,205

251

107

180

38

61

170

215

193

327

379

445

1,291

540

540

2,471

724

1,169

1,234

68

1,601

1,594

386

779

1,165

865

204

403

558

542

623

865

285

757

888

1,111

154

2,309

451

276

111

48

1,365

682

456

631

61

162

1,875

1,158

1,322

867

455

72

223

256

573

688

1,328

606

129

444

507

181

706

211

411

217

389

TQCong: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

TOP 2 BOX

31%

31%

30%

33%

30%

39%

25%

6%

31%

29%

31%

36%

27%

28%

34%

31%

30%

27%

30%

19%

40%

30%

29%

27%

36%

32%

28%

30%

35%

9%

33%

30%

39%

37%

29%

23%

34%

43%

36%

32%

27%

23%

38%

38%

33%

23%

26%

29%

37%

38%

34%

17%

31%

29%

35%

33%

14%

36%

30%

33%

33%

33%

28%

31%

20%

27%

33%

30%

31%

32%

34%

33%

32%

25%

31%

29%

31%

30%

33%

Strongly approve

7%

7%

7%

8%

5%

11%

5%

2%

7%

11%

7%

7%

6%

5%

7%

7%

11%

4%

8%

3%

16%

8%

5%

3%

10%

8%

6%

6%

10%

2%

9%

5%

11%

12%

5%

3%

10%

12%

13%

5%

4%

3%

11%

12%

6%

3%

1%

6%

11%

8%

11%

3%

6%

6%

7%

9%

0%

11%

6%

9%

8%

10%

4%

2%

2%

4%

10%

6%

6%

7%

7%

11%

7%

3%

6%

6%

7%

5%

8%

Somewhat approve

24%

24%

23%

26%

25%

28%

20%

4%

25%

18%

25%

29%

21%

23%

27%

24%

19%

24%

22%

16%

24%

22%

24%

24%

26%

25%

23%

25%

26%

7%

24%

24%

28%

25%

24%

20%

24%

31%

23%

26%

23%

20%

27%

26%

26%

20%

24%

23%

26%

30%

23%

13%

25%

23%

28%

24%

14%

24%

24%

24%

26%

23%

23%

29%

18%

23%

23%

24%

24%

25%

27%

22%

25%

22%

25%

23%

24%

26%

25%

Somewhat disapprove

34%

35%

34%

34%

36%

33%

34%

27%

35%

26%

36%

36%

39%

28%

25%

36%

26%

38%

32%

32%

26%

39%

31%

41%

34%

35%

30%

37%

33%

40%

34%

35%

31%

29%

34%

41%

34%

27%

30%

32%

36%

41%

30%

30%

32%

40%

41%

35%

31%

32%

30%

33%

32%

37%

35%

35%

37%

29%

34%

35%

34%

31%

34%

38%

40%

38%

35%

32%

36%

32%

31%

37%

31%

34%

37%

31%

36%

32%

32%

Strongly disapprove

25%

24%

26%

24%

25%

21%

29%

22%

25%

17%

28%

16%

20%

22%

21%

11%

19%

30%

32%

26%

26%

23%

26%

23%

24%

27%

18%

27%

26%

39%

27%

22%

14%

23%

27%

31%

12%

18%

23%

26%

28%

31%

14%

21%

25%

30%

31%

26%

20%

20%

24%

41%

23%

26%

24%

26%

23%

16%

24%

26%

25%

22%

30%

15%

29%

23%

23%

28%

23%

26%

25%

22%

26%

32%

23%

23%

24%

28%

25%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

59%

59%

59%

58%

62%

54%

63%

49%

60%

44%

63%

53%

59%

49%

46%

47%

45%

68%

64%

59%

52%

62%

57%

64%

58%

62%

48%

64%

59%

79%

61%

57%

44%

52%

61%

72%

46%

46%

53%

59%

64%

72%

44%

51%

57%

70%

72%

62%

51%

52%

54%

75%

55%

63%

59%

61%

60%

45%

58%

61%

60%

53%

63%

53%

69%

61%

58%

59%

59%

58%

56%

59%

57%

65%

60%

55%

61%

60%

57%

Unsure/Don't know

10%

10%

11%

9%

8%

8%

13%

44%

9%

27%

5%

11%

14%

22%

20%

22%

25%

5%

6%

22%

8%

8%

14%

9%

6%

6%

24%

6%

5%

12%

7%

13%

16%

11%

9%

5%

20%

11%

12%

10%

9%

5%

18%

12%

10%

7%

2%

10%

12%

10%

12%

9%

14%

8%

6%

6%

26%

20%

12%

6%

7%

14%

9%

16%

11%

12%

9%

11%

10%

10%

10%

8%

11%

10%

10%

17%

8%

10%

10%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

TQRep: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

TOP 2 BOX

40%

42%

40%

38%

72%

16%

31%

10%

40%

38%

43%

35%

28%

29%

22%

35%

32%

58%

17%

22%

21%

16%

29%

55%

76%

42%

31%

73%

15%

20%

45%

35%

39%

42%

39%

39%

38%

39%

43%

38%

41%

39%

38%

41%

40%

38%

44%

43%

29%

37%

31%

16%

37%

45%

43%

40%

22%

42%

42%

36%

43%

37%

38%

43%

35%

37%

40%

39%

43%

33%

34%

42%

41%

32%

42%

46%

45%

33%

34%

Strongly approve

14%

13%

15%

14%

28%

6%

7%

5%

14%

15%

16%

4%

4%

8%

6%

9%

13%

13%

4%

4%

13%

5%

9%

11%

35%

15%

10%

27%

5%

3%

16%

12%

13%

19%

12%

12%

14%

15%

19%

13%

12%

12%

15%

17%

14%

11%

11%

15%

10%

14%

8%

8%

14%

15%

12%

14%

10%

17%

15%

11%

14%

15%

14%

11%

10%

12%

15%

13%

15%

12%

13%

15%

14%

11%

13%

16%

17%

8%

14%

Somewhat approve

26%

29%

25%

24%

44%

10%

24%

5%

26%

23%

27%

30%

23%

21%

16%

26%

19%

46%

13%

17%

9%

11%

20%

44%

41%

27%

21%

46%

10%

17%

28%

23%

26%

23%

27%

27%

25%

25%

23%

24%

29%

27%

23%

24%

27%

27%

33%

28%

19%

23%

23%

8%

23%

30%

31%

26%

12%

26%

26%

25%

29%

22%

24%

32%

26%

25%

26%

26%

28%

21%

22%

27%

28%

21%

28%

30%

28%

25%

19%

Somewhat disapprove

21%

20%

20%

24%

18%

21%

26%

23%

21%

21%

19%

30%

35%

18%

37%

36%

19%

29%

22%

27%

10%

20%

25%

28%

13%

20%

25%

18%

21%

31%

21%

22%

22%

21%

22%

18%

24%

21%

21%

26%

20%

18%

23%

22%

22%

20%

11%

21%

21%

20%

25%

34%

21%

19%

23%

22%

23%

19%

21%

21%

19%

22%

23%

19%

24%

23%

25%

21%

19%

21%

32%

22%

21%

21%

19%

20%

20%

22%

21%

Strongly disapprove

32%

31%

34%

31%

7%

59%

30%

16%

33%

21%

35%

28%

22%

33%

23%

10%

25%

9%

55%

28%

66%

59%

35%

12%

9%

35%

24%

7%

61%

32%

29%

35%

25%

29%

32%

41%

20%

29%

29%

30%

34%

41%

24%

28%

30%

38%

44%

30%

42%

32%

34%

28%

32%

30%

31%

35%

31%

19%

29%

38%

33%

31%

33%

27%

37%

30%

30%

35%

29%

37%

28%

30%

33%

38%

31%

21%

29%

34%

38%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

53%

50%

54%

55%

25%

80%

57%

39%

54%

43%

54%

58%

58%

52%

60%

46%

44%

38%

77%

56%

75%

79%

60%

40%

21%

55%

49%

25%

82%

64%

50%

56%

47%

51%

54%

59%

45%

50%

50%

55%

54%

59%

48%

50%

52%

59%

55%

51%

63%

52%

59%

62%

52%

49%

54%

57%

54%

38%

50%

60%

52%

52%

56%

46%

61%

53%

54%

56%

48%

58%

60%

53%

54%

60%

50%

41%

49%

57%

59%

Unsure/Don't know

7%

8%

6%

7%

3%

4%

12%

51%

6%

19%

3%

7%

15%

19%

18%

19%

24%

4%

6%

22%

3%

5%

12%

6%

3%

3%

20%

3%

3%

16%

5%

9%

15%

8%

6%

2%

17%

11%

7%

7%

6%

2%

15%

9%

8%

3%

1%

6%

8%

11%

10%

21%

11%

7%

3%

3%

24%

20%

8%

4%

5%

11%

6%

11%

4%

10%

5%

5%

8%

8%

6%

5%

4%

8%

8%

13%

6%

10%

8%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

TQDem: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

TOP 2 BOX

41%

40%

41%

41%

12%

78%

31%

14%

41%

33%

43%

40%

40%

31%

27%

40%

34%

13%

56%

27%

78%

71%

41%

17%

21%

43%

33%

12%

74%

25%

39%

42%

40%

42%

39%

43%

33%

45%

41%

39%

39%

43%

36%

44%

39%

42%

40%

37%

58%

46%

36%

24%

42%

37%

39%

44%

28%

30%

39%

46%

41%

43%

38%

29%

44%

39%

44%

42%

37%

44%

45%

43%

45%

33%

39%

31%

37%

40%

46%

Strongly approve

16%

15%

17%

16%

5%

34%

7%

3%

16%

14%

19%

9%

11%

8%

8%

10%

9%

3%

14%

6%

48%

24%

13%

4%

12%

18%

10%

5%

31%

9%

17%

15%

13%

17%

16%

17%

12%

15%

17%

15%

17%

17%

14%

16%

15%

18%

18%

15%

25%

13%

12%

8%

17%

14%

14%

19%

7%

15%

14%

19%

17%

17%

14%

6%

18%

14%

18%

16%

13%

21%

16%

18%

18%

10%

14%

10%

13%

16%

23%

Somewhat approve

25%

25%

24%

25%

7%

44%

24%

11%

25%

19%

24%

32%

29%

23%

19%

30%

25%

10%

43%

22%

30%

47%

28%

13%

9%

25%

23%

7%

43%

15%

22%

27%

27%

25%

23%

25%

22%

30%

24%

24%

22%

25%

22%

28%

24%

24%

22%

22%

34%

33%

24%

16%

26%

23%

24%

25%

21%

16%

25%

26%

24%

26%

24%

22%

26%

25%

26%

26%

24%

23%

29%

25%

27%

23%

25%

21%

25%

25%

23%

Somewhat disapprove

18%

19%

19%

17%

19%

12%

27%

16%

18%

20%

16%

31%

21%

20%

32%

29%

15%

28%

28%

25%

8%

15%

24%

23%

9%

18%

20%

18%

17%

31%

18%

18%

21%

22%

17%

14%

24%

22%

21%

20%

15%

14%

22%

23%

18%

14%

14%

18%

16%

19%

33%

24%

17%

21%

22%

18%

11%

20%

18%

18%

18%

18%

16%

32%

12%

26%

20%

18%

17%

19%

21%

19%

18%

19%

17%

18%

16%

16%

21%

Strongly disapprove

34%

33%

34%

34%

66%

7%

29%

18%

34%

28%

38%

20%

26%

32%

18%

16%

25%

55%

10%

24%

10%

9%

23%

54%

68%

36%

27%

68%

7%

32%

37%

31%

24%

28%

38%

42%

24%

23%

30%

35%

40%

42%

26%

25%

36%

41%

46%

40%

18%

25%

23%

31%

30%

37%

36%

36%

37%

30%

35%

34%

37%

29%

40%

26%

39%

24%

30%

34%

38%

29%

29%

31%

32%

38%

36%

40%

41%

32%

28%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

52%

52%

53%

51%

85%

19%

56%

34%

52%

49%

54%

52%

47%

51%

50%

45%

41%

83%

38%

50%

18%

24%

47%

78%

77%

54%

47%

85%

24%

63%

55%

49%

45%

50%

55%

55%

47%

45%

51%

55%

55%

55%

47%

48%

54%

55%

59%

57%

33%

44%

55%

55%

47%

58%

58%

54%

48%

50%

53%

52%

54%

47%

57%

59%

51%

51%

50%

52%

55%

48%

50%

50%

50%

58%

53%

58%

57%

48%

48%

Unsure/Don't know

7%

8%

6%

7%

3%

4%

13%

52%

6%

19%

2%

8%

14%

18%

23%

15%

25%

4%

6%

23%

4%

4%

12%

5%

2%

3%

20%

2%

3%

12%

5%

8%

15%

8%

6%

2%

19%

10%

8%

6%

5%

2%

17%

8%

7%

3%

1%

6%

8%

10%

9%

21%

11%

6%

3%

2%

24%

19%

9%

3%

5%

10%

6%

12%

5%

11%

6%

6%

7%

8%

5%

7%

5%

9%

8%

10%

5%

11%

6%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

TQ1_T2B : Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Approve

41%

40%

42%

40%

8%

80%

34%

12%

41%

35%

43%

48%

32%

27%

24%

38%

34%

15%

67%

26%

77%

75%

43%

16%

17%

45%

28%

10%

80%

16%

40%

42%

41%

40%

40%

43%

36%

43%

41%

37%

41%

43%

39%

41%

38%

44%

41%

36%

56%

47%

46%

28%

41%

37%

41%

45%

20%

34%

36%

49%

43%

41%

38%

30%

43%

34%

43%

43%

35%

47%

47%

43%

44%

39%

38%

29%

33%

42%

49%

Disapprove

55%

55%

54%

54%

90%

18%

58%

45%

55%

54%

56%

49%

57%

59%

60%

53%

45%

83%

29%

60%

21%

22%

49%

82%

82%

54%

58%

89%

19%

71%

57%

53%

51%

53%

57%

55%

54%

49%

54%

60%

55%

55%

52%

52%

59%

54%

59%

60%

38%

45%

49%

57%

52%

59%

57%

54%

59%

51%

59%

49%

55%

51%

58%

60%

54%

61%

53%

53%

60%

49%

50%

53%

52%

57%

58%

65%

62%

54%

46%

Not sure

4%

5%

3%

5%

1%

2%

8%

44%

4%

11%

1%

3%

11%

14%

16%

9%

21%

2%

4%

14%

2%

3%

8%

2%

2%

1%

14%

1%

1%

13%

3%

6%

9%

7%

3%

1%

10%

9%

5%

3%

4%

1%

9%

6%

4%

3%

0%

3%

6%

8%

5%

15%

7%

4%

2%

1%

21%

15%

5%

2%

2%

8%

4%

10%

3%

5%

4%

4%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

5%

6%

5%

4%

5%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

TQVP_T2B : Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as Vice President of the United States?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Approve

46%

44%

48%

45%

11%

86%

40%

21%

46%

42%

46%

52%

46%

31%

23%

55%

46%

16%

77%

32%

80%

82%

50%

18%

18%

48%

39%

11%

84%

17%

43%

48%

50%

47%

43%

44%

46%

52%

47%

43%

44%

44%

48%

50%

43%

44%

41%

41%

62%

55%

49%

30%

47%

42%

43%

47%

34%

46%

43%

49%

45%

49%

42%

43%

44%

44%

49%

45%

40%

53%

54%

48%

46%

42%

42%

35%

39%

50%

54%

Disapprove

47%

49%

47%

46%

86%

10%

47%

40%

48%

45%

50%

41%

38%

48%

61%

33%

35%

78%

16%

46%

16%

13%

38%

78%

80%

49%

44%

86%

12%

63%

51%

44%

37%

43%

51%

53%

41%

36%

45%

52%

51%

53%

41%

40%

51%

51%

59%

54%

25%

37%

41%

54%

43%

52%

51%

49%

42%

36%

50%

46%

50%

40%

52%

43%

52%

50%

44%

48%

53%

41%

39%

46%

47%

48%

50%

57%

54%

45%

39%

Not sure

7%

7%

5%

9%

3%

4%

13%

40%

7%

13%

3%

7%

16%

21%

15%

12%

20%

7%

7%

22%

4%

5%

12%

5%

3%

4%

17%

3%

4%

20%

5%

9%

13%

9%

5%

3%

13%

12%

8%

6%

5%

3%

12%

10%

6%

5%

0%

5%

13%

8%

11%

16%

9%

6%

5%

4%

24%

18%

7%

5%

5%

11%

6%

15%

4%

6%

6%

8%

7%

6%

7%

6%

7%

10%

8%

8%

7%

4%

7%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

TQGov_T2B : Do you approve or disapprove of the job "..." is doing as Governor of "..." ?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Approve

53%

53%

53%

52%

53%

60%

46%

18%

53%

49%

56%

55%

45%

32%

46%

41%

44%

45%

51%

43%

60%

55%

49%

50%

59%

57%

40%

54%

61%

28%

56%

50%

43%

53%

54%

58%

42%

48%

53%

53%

54%

58%

43%

51%

54%

56%

61%

55%

48%

47%

48%

34%

49%

54%

57%

57%

37%

47%

49%

59%

59%

47%

51%

37%

48%

53%

52%

53%

54%

51%

54%

51%

53%

53%

54%

59%

52%

55%

49%

Disapprove

37%

36%

39%

37%

41%

32%

39%

37%

38%

27%

39%

33%

42%

40%

34%

36%

29%

48%

38%

34%

31%

37%

36%

43%

39%

38%

33%

42%

34%

63%

37%

37%

35%

36%

38%

39%

33%

36%

36%

38%

38%

39%

34%

36%

38%

39%

38%

36%

39%

42%

38%

44%

36%

38%

36%

39%

36%

36%

39%

35%

36%

35%

41%

42%

44%

37%

39%

39%

34%

40%

34%

40%

40%

36%

34%

27%

38%

33%

43%

Not sure

10%

10%

8%

11%

5%

8%

15%

46%

9%

23%

5%

11%

14%

28%

20%

23%

27%

7%

11%

23%

10%

9%

15%

7%

2%

5%

26%

4%

5%

10%

7%

13%

22%

11%

8%

3%

25%

16%

10%

9%

8%

3%

23%

13%

9%

5%

1%

9%

13%

11%

15%

22%

15%

8%

7%

4%

28%

17%

12%

5%

5%

17%

8%

22%

8%

10%

10%

8%

12%

9%

12%

9%

7%

11%

12%

14%

10%

12%

8%

Unweighted Sample

3,195

1,074

1,065

1,056

1,172

1,188

735

100

3,012

183

2,205

251

107

180

38

61

170

215

193

327

379

445

1,291

540

540

2,471

724

1,169

1,234

68

1,601

1,594

386

779

1,165

865

204

403

558

542

623

865

285

757

888

1,111

154

2,309

451

276

111

48

1,365

682

456

631

61

162

1,875

1,158

1,322

867

455

72

223

256

573

688

1,328

606

129

444

507

181

706

211

411

217

389

TQCong_T2B : Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Approve

31%

31%

30%

33%

30%

39%

25%

6%

31%

29%

31%

36%

27%

28%

34%

31%

30%

27%

30%

19%

40%

30%

29%

27%

36%

32%

28%

30%

35%

9%

33%

30%

39%

37%

29%

23%

34%

43%

36%

32%

27%

23%

38%

38%

33%

23%

26%

29%

37%

38%

34%

17%

31%

29%

35%

33%

14%

36%

30%

33%

33%

33%

28%

31%

20%

27%

33%

30%

31%

32%

34%

33%

32%

25%

31%

29%

31%

30%

33%

Disapprove

59%

59%

59%

58%

62%

54%

63%

49%

60%

44%

63%

53%

59%

49%

46%

47%

45%

68%

64%

59%

52%

62%

57%

64%

58%

62%

48%

64%

59%

79%

61%

57%

44%

52%

61%

72%

46%

46%

53%

59%

64%

72%

44%

51%

57%

70%

72%

62%

51%

52%

54%

75%

55%

63%

59%

61%

60%

45%

58%

61%

60%

53%

63%

53%

69%

61%

58%

59%

59%

58%

56%

59%

57%

65%

60%

55%

61%

60%

57%

Not sure

10%

10%

11%

9%

8%

8%

13%

44%

9%

27%

5%

11%

14%

22%

20%

22%

25%

5%

6%

22%

8%

8%

14%

9%

6%

6%

24%

6%

5%

12%

7%

13%

16%

11%

9%

5%

20%

11%

12%

10%

9%

5%

18%

12%

10%

7%

2%

10%

12%

10%

12%

9%

14%

8%

6%

6%

26%

20%

12%

6%

7%

14%

9%

16%

11%

12%

9%

11%

10%

10%

10%

8%

11%

10%

10%

17%

8%

10%

10%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

TQRep_T2B : Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Approve

40%

42%

40%

38%

72%

16%

31%

10%

40%

38%

43%

35%

28%

29%

22%

35%

32%

58%

17%

22%

21%

16%

29%

55%

76%

42%

31%

73%

15%

20%

45%

35%

39%

42%

39%

39%

38%

39%

43%

38%

41%

39%

38%

41%

40%

38%

44%

43%

29%

37%

31%

16%

37%

45%

43%

40%

22%

42%

42%

36%

43%

37%

38%

43%

35%

37%

40%

39%

43%

33%

34%

42%

41%

32%

42%

46%

45%

33%

34%

Disapprove

53%

50%

54%

55%

25%

80%

57%

39%

54%

43%

54%

58%

58%

52%

60%

46%

44%

38%

77%

56%

75%

79%

60%

40%

21%

55%

49%

25%

82%

64%

50%

56%

47%

51%

54%

59%

45%

50%

50%

55%

54%

59%

48%

50%

52%

59%

55%

51%

63%

52%

59%

62%

52%

49%

54%

57%

54%

38%

50%

60%

52%

52%

56%

46%

61%

53%

54%

56%

48%

58%

60%

53%

54%

60%

50%

41%

49%

57%

59%

Not sure

7%

8%

6%

7%

3%

4%

12%

51%

6%

19%

3%

7%

15%

19%

18%

19%

24%

4%

6%

22%

3%

5%

12%

6%

3%

3%

20%

3%

3%

16%

5%

9%

15%

8%

6%

2%

17%

11%

7%

7%

6%

2%

15%

9%

8%

3%

1%

6%

8%

11%

10%

21%

11%

7%

3%

3%

24%

20%

8%

4%

5%

11%

6%

11%

4%

10%

5%

5%

8%

8%

6%

5%

4%

8%

8%

13%

6%

10%

8%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

TQDem_T2B : Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Approve

41%

40%

41%

41%

12%

78%

31%

14%

41%

33%

43%

40%

40%

31%

27%

40%

34%

13%

56%

27%

78%

71%

41%

17%

21%

43%

33%

12%

74%

25%

39%

42%

40%

42%

39%

43%

33%

45%

41%

39%

39%

43%

36%

44%

39%

42%

40%

37%

58%

46%

36%

24%

42%

37%

39%

44%

28%

30%

39%

46%

41%

43%

38%

29%

44%

39%

44%

42%

37%

44%

45%

43%

45%

33%

39%

31%

37%

40%

46%

Disapprove

52%

52%

53%

51%

85%

19%

56%

34%

52%

49%

54%

52%

47%

51%

50%

45%

41%

83%

38%

50%

18%

24%

47%

78%

77%

54%

47%

85%

24%

63%

55%

49%

45%

50%

55%

55%

47%

45%

51%

55%

55%

55%

47%

48%

54%

55%

59%

57%

33%

44%

55%

55%

47%

58%

58%

54%

48%

50%

53%

52%

54%

47%

57%

59%

51%

51%

50%

52%

55%

48%

50%

50%

50%

58%

53%

58%

57%

48%

48%

Not sure

7%

8%

6%

7%

3%

4%

13%

52%

6%

19%

2%

8%

14%

18%

23%

15%

25%

4%

6%

23%

4%

4%

12%

5%

2%

3%

20%

2%

3%

12%

5%

8%

15%

8%

6%

2%

19%

10%

8%

6%

5%

2%

17%

8%

7%

3%

1%

6%

8%

10%

9%

21%

11%

6%

3%

2%

24%

19%

9%

3%

5%

10%

6%

12%

5%

11%

6%

6%

7%

8%

5%

7%

5%

9%

8%

10%

5%

11%

6%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

I4: Would you say that your personal financial situation is improving or getting worse?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Improving

23%

21%

23%

25%

16%

34%

19%

12%

23%

21%

24%

31%

22%

14%

24%

16%

20%

16%

28%

15%

46%

29%

20%

17%

20%

25%

18%

14%

36%

13%

27%

19%

34%

30%

19%

14%

30%

35%

28%

22%

18%

14%

33%

32%

22%

14%

14%

19%

37%

27%

37%

23%

18%

20%

26%

33%

4%

17%

19%

30%

25%

27%

12%

20%

11%

23%

25%

20%

21%

28%

23%

26%

21%

18%

21%

18%

23%

19%

32%

Getting worse

45%

47%

44%

43%

61%

29%

46%

40%

45%

43%

45%

39%

47%

45%

57%

51%

47%

54%

40%

44%

24%

33%

43%

55%

58%

45%

45%

62%

27%

50%

40%

49%

37%

44%

48%

46%

36%

39%

46%

50%

46%

46%

36%

44%

48%

46%

46%

49%

31%

42%

30%

44%

51%

47%

42%

37%

35%

50%

46%

42%

43%

40%

53%

53%

47%

52%

41%

46%

49%

40%

40%

41%

45%

48%

48%

55%

49%

49%

35%

Neither

29%

29%

30%

29%

23%

34%

31%

30%

29%

32%

30%

27%

26%

29%

16%

29%

20%

28%

30%

33%

28%

36%

32%

27%

21%

29%

29%

23%

36%

30%

31%

28%

23%

23%

30%

39%

26%

21%

23%

26%

34%

39%

24%

21%

27%

38%

38%

30%

29%

25%

31%

31%

27%

31%

30%

29%

45%

23%

31%

27%

29%

27%

33%

26%

40%

21%

31%

32%

27%

29%

32%

31%

32%

33%

29%

22%

26%

27%

30%

No opinion

3%

3%

3%

3%

1%

2%

5%

17%

3%

4%

1%

3%

6%

12%

4%

4%

13%

2%

2%

8%

2%

3%

5%

2%

1%

1%

8%

1%

1%

6%

2%

4%

6%

3%

2%

1%

7%

5%

3%

2%

3%

1%

7%

4%

3%

1%

1%

2%

4%

6%

2%

2%

4%

1%

3%

1%

16%

10%

3%

1%

2%

6%

1%

2%

2%

4%

3%

2%

3%

4%

5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

6%

2%

4%

3%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

ISS1X- What is the most important issue facing the country today?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Price increases/ inflation

33%

37%

31%

32%

42%

23%

35%

38%

33%

33%

34%

37%

26%

31%

22%

27%

28%

42%

28%

35%

16%

26%

34%

43%

36%

33%

34%

42%

23%

43%

31%

35%

29%

31%

36%

34%

26%

28%

34%

36%

36%

34%

26%

32%

36%

35%

31%

34%

23%

37%

40%

21%

34%

37%

36%

30%

26%

31%

35%

31%

33%

30%

36%

44%

36%

32%

31%

31%

36%

32%

28%

32%

35%

23%

36%

33%

37%

35%

30%

Immigration

31%

30%

32%

29%

51%

15%

26%

12%

31%

26%

35%

26%

13%

24%

18%

18%

20%

40%

17%

22%

12%

12%

24%

47%

53%

33%

22%

52%

16%

16%

36%

26%

14%

22%

35%

45%

13%

15%

24%

32%

37%

45%

15%

19%

34%

41%

43%

35%

18%

23%

26%

23%

27%

34%

32%

34%

23%

21%

30%

33%

35%

22%

39%

23%

37%

23%

36%

28%

31%

27%

33%

36%

30%

23%

30%

31%

34%

30%

26%

Economy and jobs

26%

26%

27%

26%

31%

21%

27%

28%

27%

21%

28%

26%

24%

24%

28%

19%

24%

26%

26%

29%

17%

22%

27%

31%

28%

27%

25%

31%

23%

24%

26%

27%

26%

29%

29%

20%

22%

28%

30%

34%

25%

20%

22%

30%

32%

20%

24%

27%

22%

29%

25%

30%

22%

30%

27%

30%

28%

18%

24%

31%

26%

28%

24%

25%

24%

30%

26%

21%

29%

27%

28%

25%

23%

17%

29%

28%

29%

26%

28%

Crime and drugs

15%

14%

15%

16%

17%

11%

17%

22%

15%

15%

15%

14%

21%

20%

9%

20%

13%

19%

10%

20%

6%

11%

16%

15%

23%

15%

17%

19%

11%

9%

14%

16%

15%

16%

14%

17%

17%

16%

14%

14%

14%

17%

17%

15%

13%

16%

19%

14%

19%

17%

13%

16%

17%

15%

13%

13%

19%

21%

16%

14%

14%

16%

15%

14%

19%

17%

14%

16%

14%

17%

14%

14%

17%

14%

13%

16%

16%

12%

19%

Abortion

15%

13%

16%

15%

8%

23%

13%

12%

15%

10%

16%

12%

9%

16%

12%

18%

13%

5%

22%

12%

24%

23%

16%

6%

9%

15%

14%

6%

24%

6%

12%

17%

16%

14%

14%

15%

17%

15%

14%

13%

15%

15%

17%

14%

14%

14%

16%

14%

17%

15%

17%

12%

16%

13%

13%

14%

16%

11%

15%

14%

14%

15%

13%

15%

17%

18%

13%

18%

14%

15%

12%

13%

16%

22%

14%

14%

13%

15%

15%

Health care

14%

15%

15%

13%

9%

18%

16%

18%

14%

19%

14%

15%

14%

17%

15%

15%

14%

12%

20%

16%

18%

18%

17%

9%

8%

14%

16%

8%

19%

16%

12%

16%

15%

16%

16%

10%

10%

16%

17%

15%

16%

10%

12%

16%

15%

14%

10%

14%

18%

13%

14%

21%

14%

15%

14%

14%

14%

16%

15%

13%

15%

15%

11%

16%

12%

16%

14%

15%

15%

13%

15%

14%

12%

22%

16%

16%

12%

14%

12%

Guns

13%

12%

13%

13%

6%

21%

10%

13%

13%

10%

13%

10%

17%

11%

19%

14%

10%

5%

16%

10%

22%

20%

12%

8%

8%

13%

12%

5%

20%

17%

13%

13%

11%

14%

12%

13%

12%

14%

12%

12%

12%

13%

12%

13%

13%

12%

15%

11%

16%

16%

15%

10%

13%

10%

14%

14%

4%

14%

12%

14%

14%

14%

9%

12%

13%

7%

16%

14%

10%

13%

14%

16%

14%

13%

12%

8%

10%

11%

15%

Social Security

12%

13%

11%

12%

9%

15%

12%

13%

12%

13%

11%

14%

13%

11%

8%

19%

14%

10%

11%

13%

16%

13%

14%

10%

8%

12%

13%

9%

15%

10%

13%

12%

4%

7%

16%

18%

2%

6%

7%

11%

20%

18%

3%

6%

12%

21%

7%

13%

9%

10%

8%

15%

16%

10%

9%

9%

14%

12%

14%

9%

12%

9%

19%

7%

19%

7%

11%

15%

12%

11%

10%

11%

15%

15%

11%

12%

12%

11%

12%

National debt / federal budget deficits

12%

11%

12%

12%

18%

7%

11%

10%

12%

11%

13%

9%

6%

8%

10%

11%

10%

15%

4%

13%

4%

5%

11%

16%

17%

12%

10%

18%

7%

22%

15%

9%

9%

9%

12%

15%

9%

9%

9%

9%

16%

15%

10%

9%

11%

14%

25%

13%

7%

7%

12%

15%

9%

12%

13%

14%

16%

7%

12%

13%

12%

10%

15%

13%

14%

10%

11%

13%

12%

11%

12%

10%

11%

16%

13%

10%

12%

13%

9%

Women's rights

11%

11%

12%

11%

3%

20%

10%

14%

12%

7%

11%

7%

16%

13%

10%

13%

21%

4%

14%

12%

21%

19%

13%

6%

3%

11%

14%

3%

18%

8%

6%

16%

18%

12%

10%

9%

15%

17%

12%

11%

9%

9%

15%

14%

11%

9%

9%

10%

14%

15%

10%

12%

12%

8%

14%

11%

18%

12%

11%

13%

11%

13%

10%

9%

8%

13%

12%

13%

11%

10%

13%

11%

14%

10%

12%

9%

11%

11%

10%

Taxes

10%

9%

10%

11%

10%

8%

12%

10%

10%

12%

8%

19%

10%

16%

4%

17%

11%

13%

13%

11%

9%

8%

11%

13%

7%

9%

14%

10%

7%

18%

11%

10%

14%

13%

9%

5%

10%

18%

12%

11%

8%

5%

13%

15%

10%

6%

5%

9%

13%

12%

11%

7%

10%

11%

8%

11%

10%

8%

10%

10%

9%

13%

7%

16%

8%

13%

9%

11%

9%

11%

9%

9%

11%

10%

8%

10%

10%

10%

12%

Terrorism / national security

10%

10%

9%

10%

15%

5%

9%

11%

9%

11%

10%

8%

6%

8%

11%

4%

9%

12%

8%

6%

6%

5%

8%

13%

17%

10%

7%

16%

4%

8%

9%

10%

6%

7%

10%

14%

7%

6%

7%

9%

11%

14%

6%

7%

9%

12%

16%

11%

5%

7%

4%

5%

10%

9%

10%

10%

6%

6%

9%

10%

11%

6%

11%

14%

13%

8%

11%

8%

11%

7%

9%

12%

8%

8%

9%

12%

13%

6%

8%

Environment / climate change

9%

10%

9%

10%

3%

16%

9%

11%

9%

11%

10%

9%

8%

7%

4%

8%

8%

5%

13%

9%

19%

19%

10%

4%

1%

10%

9%

3%

16%

13%

10%

9%

6%

9%

10%

12%

7%

6%

10%

9%

10%

12%

7%

8%

10%

11%

11%

10%

7%

9%

9%

7%

9%

9%

9%

10%

5%

8%

9%

11%

10%

10%

10%

8%

8%

8%

9%

9%

8%

12%

8%

10%

9%

10%

8%

8%

7%

11%

13%

Ethics in government, corruption, campaign finance reform

9%

10%

9%

9%

9%

10%

10%

5%

9%

12%

9%

8%

9%

7%

9%

7%

9%

5%

13%

10%

13%

12%

8%

9%

7%

10%

8%

9%

10%

8%

11%

7%

8%

6%

11%

11%

9%

8%

5%

10%

11%

11%

9%

6%

10%

11%

10%

10%

8%

4%

10%

5%

8%

10%

8%

10%

17%

8%

10%

9%

9%

10%

8%

6%

10%

8%

9%

8%

9%

10%

11%

8%

7%

11%

9%

10%

9%

13%

9%

Corruption

8%

8%

7%

9%

8%

6%

9%

10%

8%

8%

7%

9%

9%

11%

11%

12%

12%

13%

9%

7%

5%

8%

8%

8%

8%

7%

9%

9%

5%

12%

9%

7%

12%

9%

6%

6%

13%

11%

8%

6%

6%

6%

13%

9%

6%

7%

4%

7%

9%

10%

8%

9%

8%

9%

8%

6%

11%

10%

9%

5%

6%

10%

9%

11%

5%

8%

6%

8%

7%

9%

7%

6%

7%

10%

6%

5%

10%

11%

9%

Income inequality

8%

7%

8%

7%

4%

11%

9%

4%

8%

9%

7%

8%

7%

12%

9%

9%

7%

6%

12%

9%

13%

14%

7%

4%

5%

7%

9%

4%

10%

8%

7%

8%

9%

13%

7%

3%

9%

12%

11%

8%

6%

3%

9%

13%

7%

4%

3%

7%

9%

9%

6%

6%

8%

7%

6%

8%

10%

8%

7%

9%

7%

9%

8%

6%

4%

9%

9%

6%

7%

8%

8%

10%

5%

7%

9%

6%

6%

10%

7%

Medicare

7%

8%

7%

6%

5%

9%

6%

13%

7%

11%

6%

8%

10%

5%

10%

4%

8%

7%

4%

7%

8%

6%

8%

7%

5%

7%

8%

5%

9%

8%

8%

6%

7%

8%

5%

9%

9%

7%

7%

6%

5%

9%

8%

7%

5%

8%

5%

6%

8%

9%

9%

6%

9%

8%

7%

3%

7%

9%

9%

4%

5%

8%

7%

4%

13%

7%

7%

8%

6%

8%

7%

7%

10%

5%

6%

7%

5%

8%

8%

Education

6%

6%

5%

7%

3%

7%

6%

6%

6%

4%

5%

9%

7%

6%

14%

3%

12%

7%

5%

7%

8%

8%

6%

2%

5%

6%

6%

4%

7%

8%

5%

6%

12%

8%

4%

2%

11%

11%

8%

5%

2%

2%

12%

9%

4%

2%

2%

5%

10%

6%

4%

1%

6%

4%

6%

6%

5%

13%

5%

6%

6%

7%

3%

8%

2%

6%

4%

6%

6%

5%

7%

3%

7%

6%

7%

10%

3%

3%

6%

The conflict between Israel and Palestine

5%

5%

6%

6%

6%

6%

5%

0%

5%

6%

6%

3%

10%

2%

10%

0%

6%

8%

3%

4%

8%

5%

5%

4%

6%

6%

4%

6%

5%

3%

4%

6%

11%

4%

3%

7%

13%

6%

4%

3%

3%

7%

11%

5%

3%

6%

6%

5%

5%

5%

14%

3%

5%

6%

7%

5%

2%

6%

5%

6%

5%

6%

5%

2%

4%

7%

7%

3%

6%

6%

6%

7%

3%

4%

5%

5%

7%

6%

6%

School safety

5%

6%

5%

5%

4%

6%

6%

11%

5%

7%

4%

6%

14%

8%

6%

9%

9%

3%

7%

7%

4%

7%

7%

3%

4%

4%

9%

2%

6%

0%

3%

7%

12%

7%

4%

1%

16%

6%

8%

4%

4%

1%

13%

7%

5%

2%

0%

5%

6%

9%

4%

6%

8%

4%

4%

4%

3%

9%

6%

4%

4%

7%

4%

10%

5%

8%

6%

6%

5%

5%

8%

5%

6%

5%

4%

8%

6%

4%

5%

Family values, morality

5%

5%

5%

6%

8%

3%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

6%

5%

4%

4%

5%

4%

8%

2%

4%

4%

1%

4%

8%

9%

5%

6%

7%

3%

2%

5%

5%

6%

6%

5%

5%

7%

6%

6%

6%

4%

5%

7%

5%

6%

5%

2%

5%

4%

4%

7%

6%

5%

7%

3%

5%

4%

7%

5%

5%

5%

6%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

6%

6%

5%

4%

4%

6%

7%

5%

9%

6%

4%

5%

Foreign policy

4%

4%

4%

5%

5%

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

4%

5%

7%

4%

4%

3%

3%

6%

4%

3%

5%

3%

3%

6%

5%

5%

2%

5%

4%

2%

5%

4%

3%

5%

4%

3%

4%

3%

6%

4%

5%

3%

3%

4%

4%

3%

7%

4%

4%

4%

4%

16%

3%

4%

3%

6%

5%

5%

3%

5%

5%

4%

3%

0%

2%

3%

5%

4%

4%

4%

6%

5%

3%

6%

4%

3%

3%

5%

3%

Government Gridlock

4%

3%

5%

4%

3%

4%

5%

1%

4%

4%

4%

5%

5%

5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

8%

5%

4%

4%

5%

3%

3%

4%

4%

2%

6%

8%

5%

3%

4%

3%

4%

5%

5%

2%

3%

4%

4%

5%

4%

2%

4%

4%

8%

4%

4%

3%

2%

4%

3%

5%

2%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

4%

4%

4%

6%

4%

5%

4%

4%

5%

4%

4%

6%

4%

3%

4%

3%

4%

Race relations

4%

4%

3%

4%

2%

5%

4%

1%

4%

3%

4%

2%

4%

4%

7%

12%

3%

2%

4%

6%

6%

5%

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

2%

5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

6%

4%

1%

3%

5%

5%

5%

4%

1%

4%

4%

5%

2%

1%

2%

12%

4%

2%

9%

5%

2%

4%

4%

0%

5%

4%

3%

3%

5%

3%

3%

1%

7%

4%

4%

4%

4%

2%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

2%

4%

4%

Police reform

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

4%

4%

8%

3%

4%

3%

4%

2%

5%

5%

6%

4%

3%

7%

3%

4%

5%

4%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

4%

2%

3%

3%

7%

4%

2%

2%

6%

9%

3%

1%

2%

2%

6%

6%

2%

2%

2%

2%

8%

3%

6%

1%

3%

3%

5%

3%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

5%

3%

3%

3%

January 6th

3%

3%

3%

3%

1%

6%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

4%

1%

9%

2%

3%

1%

4%

2%

7%

7%

3%

1%

1%

3%

3%

1%

6%

1%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

4%

5%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

4%

2%

3%

3%

5%

3%

4%

3%

4%

0%

3%

3%

5%

3%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

4%

Civil disorder

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

5%

3%

6%

2%

4%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

3%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

1%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

4%

4%

3%

2%

2%

3%

4%

3%

1%

3%

4%

3%

2%

4%

2%

2%

3%

4%

8%

4%

2%

4%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

6%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

2%

4%

Defense

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

4%

0%

3%

4%

2%

5%

6%

1%

8%

9%

1%

6%

5%

2%

4%

1%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

4%

2%

4%

4%

2%

3%

5%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

4%

4%

3%

2%

4%

2%

4%

3%

2%

16%

2%

3%

4%

3%

5%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

5%

3%

3%

4%

3%

2%

3%

5%

1%

China

3%

2%

3%

3%

4%

2%

2%

0%

3%

3%

3%

1%

3%

3%

4%

3%

2%

2%

0%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

4%

2%

2%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

1%

3%

2%

1%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

1%

4%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

0%

1%

3%

3%

4%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

5%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

Cybersecurity

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

2%

5%

2%

4%

2%

2%

3%

0%

3%

1%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

8%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

3%

3%

1%

2%

4%

3%

Political correctness

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

5%

0%

3%

5%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

4%

1%

4%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

0%

0%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

1%

3%

Coronavirus

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

3%

5%

2%

2%

1%

4%

6%

4%

5%

5%

3%

2%

3%

3%

4%

2%

3%

1%

1%

2%

3%

1%

2%

5%

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

0%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

0%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

5%

4%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

7%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

1%

2%

4%

2%

2%

2%

Other, please specify

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

3%

1%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

3%

0%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

1%

2%

4%

6%

2%

1%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

4%

5%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

H1b : 2-Way Horserace - Harris v Trump

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Donald Trump

45%

46%

44%

45%

88%

8%

39%

21%

45%

38%

49%

39%

42%

37%

36%

28%

33%

81%

11%

29%

17%

11%

33%

73%

83%

47%

38%

91%

7%

26%

51%

39%

39%

44%

46%

48%

39%

40%

46%

46%

45%

48%

41%

42%

47%

46%

54%

52%

22%

33%

40%

43%

41%

48%

48%

46%

38%

42%

47%

42%

47%

40%

46%

39%

47%

45%

43%

46%

49%

38%

38%

45%

46%

46%

46%

54%

53%

39%

37%

Kamala Harris

45%

44%

47%

45%

7%

89%

40%

14%

46%

32%

47%

54%

47%

31%

23%

55%

44%

10%

79%

35%

79%

84%

51%

18%

13%

47%

39%

5%

89%

23%

41%

50%

48%

43%

45%

45%

45%

49%

43%

43%

47%

45%

46%

46%

44%

46%

42%

39%

68%

52%

51%

42%

47%

43%

44%

47%

32%

39%

42%

51%

44%

48%

45%

44%

44%

44%

48%

45%

40%

53%

52%

46%

46%

43%

43%

33%

39%

51%

53%

Don’t Know / Unsure

10%

10%

9%

11%

5%

3%

21%

65%

9%

30%

5%

8%

11%

33%

41%

17%

23%

10%

10%

36%

4%

5%

17%

8%

3%

6%

23%

4%

4%

51%

8%

12%

13%

12%

9%

7%

16%

12%

11%

10%

8%

7%

14%

12%

10%

8%

3%

9%

10%

14%

8%

15%

12%

9%

8%

7%

30%

19%

11%

7%

9%

12%

9%

17%

10%

10%

9%

9%

11%

10%

10%

9%

9%

11%

12%

13%

9%

10%

10%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

H1bL: 2-Way Horserace - Harris v Trump Lean

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Donald Trump

43%

47%

40%

43%

76%

18%

39%

38%

42%

49%

55%

32%

27%

38%

34%

41%

31%

53%

19%

41%

34%

14%

41%

64%

62%

48%

39%

83%

14%

50%

49%

39%

43%

42%

42%

49%

45%

50%

34%

42%

43%

49%

47%

41%

44%

42%

58%

46%

43%

35%

27%

66%

45%

34%

39%

50%

47%

23%

42%

55%

50%

41%

44%

16%

26%

49%

36%

43%

46%

44%

37%

36%

48%

33%

49%

43%

41%

42%

45%

Kamala Harris

57%

53%

60%

57%

24%

82%

61%

62%

58%

51%

45%

68%

73%

62%

66%

59%

69%

47%

81%

59%

66%

86%

59%

36%

38%

52%

61%

17%

86%

50%

51%

61%

57%

58%

58%

51%

55%

50%

66%

58%

57%

51%

53%

59%

56%

58%

42%

54%

57%

65%

73%

34%

55%

66%

61%

50%

53%

77%

58%

45%

50%

59%

56%

84%

74%

51%

64%

57%

54%

56%

63%

64%

52%

67%

51%

57%

59%

58%

55%

Unweighted Sample

303

103

99

101

54

31

152

66

248

55

93

20

11

60

14

14

36

19

18

115

14

20

208

43

18

127

176

46

47

34

122

181

50

86

109

58

35

41

60

59

50

58

41

81

88

88

5

200

44

41

10

8

156

55

35

40

17

32

199

72

108

95

37

11

25

27

48

58

140

57

11

37

41

17

77

24

39

19

38

H1b_combined: 2-Way Horserace - Harris v Trump Merged

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Donald Trump

49%

51%

47%

49%

92%

8%

47%

46%

49%

52%

51%

41%

45%

49%

50%

35%

40%

86%

13%

44%

18%

11%

39%

79%

86%

50%

47%

94%

7%

51%

55%

43%

44%

50%

49%

52%

46%

46%

50%

51%

48%

52%

47%

47%

51%

49%

56%

56%

26%

38%

43%

53%

47%

51%

51%

50%

52%

46%

51%

46%

52%

45%

50%

42%

49%

50%

47%

50%

54%

42%

42%

48%

50%

50%

51%

60%

56%

43%

42%

Kamala Harris

51%

49%

53%

51%

8%

92%

53%

54%

51%

48%

49%

59%

55%

51%

50%

65%

60%

14%

87%

56%

82%

89%

61%

21%

14%

50%

53%

6%

93%

49%

45%

57%

56%

51%

51%

48%

54%

54%

50%

49%

52%

48%

53%

53%

49%

51%

44%

44%

74%

62%

57%

47%

53%

49%

49%

50%

48%

54%

49%

54%

48%

55%

50%

58%

51%

50%

53%

50%

46%

58%

58%

52%

50%

50%

49%

40%

44%

57%

58%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

H6b: 3-Way Horserace - Harris v Trump v RFK

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Donald Trump

42%

42%

41%

42%

84%

6%

34%

20%

42%

35%

46%

34%

32%

35%

40%

24%

25%

69%

10%

26%

14%

9%

29%

68%

81%

45%

32%

88%

5%

14%

48%

36%

35%

41%

42%

47%

37%

35%

42%

42%

43%

47%

36%

38%

43%

44%

52%

48%

20%

31%

35%

35%

37%

45%

45%

44%

42%

38%

43%

40%

45%

35%

46%

43%

44%

38%

41%

42%

46%

34%

35%

42%

42%

43%

44%

49%

48%

38%

32%

Kamala Harris

43%

40%

44%

43%

6%

86%

35%

18%

43%

33%

44%

48%

33%

31%

31%

51%

40%

9%

71%

29%

78%

81%

46%

17%

12%

45%

34%

4%

86%

24%

39%

46%

43%

42%

43%

43%

40%

45%

41%

41%

44%

43%

41%

44%

41%

44%

41%

37%

64%

47%

46%

42%

44%

37%

40%

46%

28%

37%

39%

48%

42%

46%

40%

36%

41%

38%

45%

44%

37%

49%

50%

43%

45%

41%

40%

29%

35%

46%

51%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

9%

11%

8%

8%

5%

5%

19%

15%

9%

13%

6%

10%

26%

15%

20%

9%

14%

20%

13%

22%

5%

8%

12%

9%

4%

6%

17%

4%

7%

34%

7%

10%

15%

10%

8%

5%

14%

13%

10%

10%

6%

5%

14%

11%

9%

6%

2%

8%

7%

15%

12%

12%

11%

11%

10%

5%

4%

12%

10%

6%

6%

11%

8%

6%

7%

17%

8%

8%

9%

10%

8%

8%

8%

7%

8%

11%

10%

10%

10%

Don’t Know / Unsure

7%

7%

7%

7%

4%

3%

12%

47%

6%

19%

3%

7%

9%

19%

9%

16%

21%

2%

6%

23%

3%

2%

12%

6%

2%

4%

17%

3%

3%

27%

6%

8%

8%

7%

7%

6%

9%

7%

7%

7%

7%

6%

8%

8%

7%

6%

5%

6%

8%

8%

7%

10%

8%

7%

5%

5%

26%

12%

7%

6%

6%

7%

7%

15%

7%

6%

6%

6%

8%

6%

6%

7%

5%

8%

8%

10%

7%

6%

7%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

H6bLEAN: 3-Way-Horserace - Harris v Trump v RFK Lean

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Donald Trump

32%

40%

27%

27%

73%

4%

20%

33%

32%

31%

47%

24%

10%

19%

52%

44%

22%

42%

10%

21%

11%

0%

27%

57%

55%

38%

27%

73%

4%

26%

37%

28%

31%

33%

30%

34%

34%

35%

27%

32%

28%

34%

38%

30%

31%

32%

15%

36%

31%

18%

12%

76%

32%

31%

25%

38%

26%

6%

34%

35%

38%

30%

22%

17%

16%

44%

35%

27%

34%

27%

25%

38%

30%

22%

31%

28%

43%

38%

23%

Kamala Harris

47%

42%

47%

53%

16%

70%

56%

45%

47%

46%

37%

43%

82%

51%

20%

37%

61%

9%

74%

56%

21%

74%

56%

17%

24%

45%

49%

16%

82%

43%

40%

52%

50%

41%

49%

48%

40%

46%

47%

47%

51%

48%

41%

45%

46%

56%

26%

46%

49%

47%

62%

22%

51%

44%

42%

39%

57%

58%

49%

41%

39%

49%

59%

83%

50%

41%

41%

63%

48%

38%

47%

40%

53%

78%

53%

60%

29%

29%

42%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

21%

18%

26%

20%

11%

26%

24%

22%

21%

23%

16%

33%

8%

30%

28%

19%

18%

48%

16%

24%

68%

26%

17%

27%

21%

16%

24%

11%

14%

31%

24%

20%

19%

26%

20%

18%

26%

19%

25%

21%

20%

18%

21%

25%

23%

12%

59%

18%

21%

36%

26%

2%

17%

25%

34%

23%

17%

36%

17%

25%

23%

21%

19%

0%

34%

15%

24%

10%

18%

35%

28%

23%

17%

0%

15%

12%

28%

33%

35%

Unweighted Sample

213

71

69

73

46

25

93

49

178

35

64

18

11

35

5

12

33

6

9

78

8

11

154

29

11

89

124

39

30

20

86

127

31

54

85

43

20

29

36

43

42

43

24

55

62

65

7

143

33

23

8

6

105

43

24

26

15

20

139

54

82

60

30

10

15

16

34

38

103

38

6

28

26

12

55

19

29

12

26

H6b_3-Way Horserace - Harris v Trump v RFK Merged

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Donald Trump

44%

45%

43%

44%

87%

7%

37%

36%

44%

41%

48%

36%

32%

39%

45%

31%

30%

70%

11%

31%

14%

9%

33%

71%

82%

46%

37%

91%

5%

21%

50%

38%

37%

43%

44%

49%

40%

38%

44%

44%

45%

49%

39%

40%

45%

46%

53%

51%

23%

32%

36%

43%

40%

47%

46%

46%

48%

39%

45%

42%

47%

37%

47%

45%

46%

41%

43%

44%

49%

36%

37%

45%

44%

45%

46%

52%

51%

40%

34%

Kamala Harris

46%

43%

47%

47%

7%

88%

42%

39%

46%

42%

46%

51%

41%

41%

32%

57%

53%

9%

75%

42%

79%

83%

53%

18%

13%

47%

42%

5%

88%

36%

41%

50%

47%

45%

46%

46%

44%

48%

44%

44%

48%

46%

45%

47%

44%

47%

42%

40%

69%

50%

50%

45%

48%

40%

42%

48%

43%

44%

43%

51%

45%

50%

44%

49%

45%

41%

47%

48%

41%

52%

53%

46%

48%

48%

44%

36%

37%

48%

54%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

10%

12%

10%

9%

6%

6%

22%

26%

10%

17%

7%

13%

27%

20%

23%

12%

18%

21%

14%

27%

7%

9%

14%

11%

5%

7%

21%

5%

7%

42%

9%

12%

16%

12%

9%

6%

17%

14%

12%

11%

7%

6%

16%

13%

11%

6%

5%

9%

9%

18%

14%

12%

12%

13%

12%

6%

8%

17%

12%

7%

8%

13%

9%

6%

10%

18%

9%

8%

11%

12%

10%

9%

9%

7%

9%

12%

12%

12%

13%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

H2b: 5-Way Horserace - Harris v Trump v RFK v West v Stein

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

41%

42%

41%

41%

86%

5%

33%

19%

42%

36%

46%

34%

31%

33%

32%

22%

26%

68%

10%

24%

13%

8%

29%

69%

82%

45%

31%

89%

5%

15%

48%

36%

34%

40%

42%

47%

35%

35%

41%

42%

43%

47%

34%

37%

43%

45%

52%

49%

19%

29%

34%

39%

37%

45%

45%

44%

40%

36%

43%

40%

45%

35%

45%

41%

44%

37%

40%

41%

46%

35%

35%

41%

40%

42%

44%

52%

48%

38%

34%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

42%

41%

44%

42%

6%

86%

34%

16%

43%

32%

45%

46%

33%

26%

26%

50%

38%

8%

69%

29%

78%

80%

46%

17%

12%

46%

32%

4%

86%

22%

39%

45%

39%

42%

43%

44%

37%

43%

42%

41%

44%

44%

39%

43%

41%

44%

41%

37%

64%

45%

46%

41%

43%

39%

39%

46%

30%

34%

39%

48%

43%

44%

40%

37%

43%

40%

45%

44%

36%

49%

49%

44%

45%

40%

39%

29%

34%

47%

50%

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., running as an independent candidate

8%

10%

8%

8%

5%

5%

17%

14%

8%

11%

5%

11%

25%

17%

15%

14%

13%

19%

11%

19%

6%

8%

11%

10%

4%

6%

16%

4%

6%

26%

7%

9%

14%

9%

8%

5%

13%

13%

8%

9%

7%

5%

14%

10%

8%

6%

2%

7%

6%

16%

14%

12%

10%

9%

11%

5%

3%

12%

10%

5%

6%

11%

7%

6%

7%

14%

8%

8%

9%

9%

7%

8%

8%

9%

8%

7%

10%

9%

9%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

3%

2%

0%

0%

3%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

8%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

Don't Know / Unsure

7%

6%

6%

8%

3%

2%

14%

52%

6%

19%

2%

7%

8%

23%

23%

13%

23%

2%

7%

26%

2%

2%

13%

4%

2%

3%

19%

2%

2%

27%

5%

9%

10%

8%

6%

4%

13%

7%

8%

7%

6%

4%

11%

8%

7%

5%

4%

6%

10%

8%

6%

9%

9%

6%

5%

4%

25%

16%

7%

5%

5%

10%

6%

16%

4%

7%

6%

7%

8%

5%

7%

6%

6%

7%

8%

10%

7%

6%

5%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

H2bL: Between the five choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

33%

40%

29%

30%

67%

22%

24%

33%

32%

34%

46%

25%

29%

36%

32%

37%

13%

0%

9%

28%

17%

9%

28%

76%

33%

45%

27%

88%

18%

27%

37%

30%

23%

39%

32%

39%

29%

28%

36%

33%

32%

39%

31%

34%

36%

28%

35%

36%

27%

22%

32%

54%

30%

23%

33%

47%

38%

23%

32%

38%

40%

29%

24%

21%

19%

45%

39%

38%

32%

21%

0%

53%

38%

37%

32%

34%

32%

37%

10%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

40%

30%

38%

50%

21%

57%

42%

43%

41%

40%

23%

56%

53%

45%

28%

40%

51%

88%

66%

34%

40%

65%

42%

10%

55%

23%

49%

1%

42%

27%

38%

42%

53%

29%

41%

38%

45%

38%

39%

35%

48%

38%

43%

41%

31%

53%

0%

34%

47%

55%

52%

46%

43%

38%

42%

31%

46%

49%

42%

33%

32%

42%

52%

60%

32%

42%

12%

45%

44%

52%

0%

17%

38%

63%

46%

53%

33%

24%

69%

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., running as an independent candidate

16%

20%

22%

10%

10%

12%

20%

17%

16%

17%

17%

14%

10%

8%

25%

23%

25%

12%

19%

20%

21%

9%

19%

4%

11%

16%

17%

11%

13%

26%

14%

18%

18%

20%

13%

14%

20%

24%

14%

15%

11%

14%

18%

19%

16%

10%

40%

20%

6%

16%

15%

0%

16%

23%

20%

9%

16%

9%

17%

18%

16%

17%

18%

11%

44%

5%

26%

10%

14%

21%

77%

8%

15%

0%

15%

7%

17%

22%

20%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

7%

7%

9%

5%

2%

4%

9%

4%

7%

3%

12%

0%

9%

4%

0%

0%

10%

0%

0%

12%

0%

8%

7%

9%

0%

9%

5%

0%

8%

20%

10%

5%

2%

5%

10%

8%

0%

6%

5%

15%

4%

8%

2%

3%

12%

5%

25%

7%

10%

3%

0%

0%

8%

7%

5%

7%

0%

8%

6%

7%

7%

7%

6%

8%

5%

0%

12%

4%

6%

6%

13%

11%

6%

0%

5%

5%

7%

16%

0%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

4%

3%

2%

6%

0%

4%

6%

3%

4%

6%

2%

5%

0%

7%

15%

0%

1%

0%

7%

6%

22%

9%

4%

0%

0%

7%

3%

0%

20%

0%

1%

5%

4%

6%

4%

0%

6%

4%

6%

3%

5%

0%

5%

3%

5%

4%

0%

3%

10%

4%

0%

0%

3%

9%

0%

6%

0%

12%

3%

4%

5%

5%

0%

0%

1%

8%

11%

2%

4%

0%

9%

11%

3%

0%

2%

0%

11%

0%

0%

Unweighted Sample

209

59

69

81

34

24

98

53

174

35

52

18

8

40

9

11

36

5

11

82

7

10

156

23

13

70

139

26

24

20

80

129

42

58

77

32

30

28

42

42

35

32

33

57

61

53

5

134

37

26

7

5

112

36

21

25

15

27

136

46

66

78

26

10

12

17

30

42

105

32

6

24

31

11

54

18

33

12

20

H2b_combined: 5-Way Horserace - Harris v Trump v RFK v West v Stein Merged

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

44%

44%

43%

44%

88%

6%

36%

36%

44%

42%

47%

36%

34%

41%

40%

26%

29%

68%

10%

32%

13%

8%

33%

72%

83%

46%

36%

91%

5%

22%

49%

38%

37%

43%

45%

48%

39%

37%

44%

44%

45%

48%

37%

40%

46%

46%

53%

51%

21%

31%

36%

43%

40%

46%

46%

46%

50%

39%

45%

42%

47%

38%

47%

44%

45%

40%

42%

43%

49%

36%

35%

44%

43%

44%

46%

55%

50%

40%

35%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

45%

43%

47%

46%

6%

87%

40%

38%

45%

39%

46%

50%

37%

36%

32%

55%

49%

10%

73%

38%

79%

81%

52%

17%

13%

46%

41%

4%

87%

29%

41%

49%

45%

45%

45%

45%

43%

46%

45%

43%

47%

45%

43%

47%

43%

47%

41%

39%

69%

50%

49%

45%

47%

41%

41%

47%

42%

41%

42%

50%

44%

48%

43%

47%

44%

42%

46%

47%

40%

52%

49%

45%

48%

45%

43%

34%

37%

48%

54%

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., running as an independent candidate

10%

11%

9%

8%

5%

6%

20%

22%

9%

15%

6%

12%

26%

19%

21%

17%

18%

20%

13%

24%

7%

8%

13%

10%

4%

6%

20%

5%

6%

33%

8%

11%

16%

10%

9%

5%

16%

14%

9%

10%

7%

5%

16%

12%

9%

6%

4%

8%

7%

17%

15%

12%

11%

11%

12%

6%

7%

14%

11%

6%

7%

12%

8%

8%

9%

14%

9%

9%

10%

10%

12%

9%

9%

9%

9%

8%

11%

10%

10%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

0%

3%

4%

0%

2%

2%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

7%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

3%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

3%

1%

0%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

0%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

2%

1%

3%

0%

0%

1%

2%

4%

0%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

8%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

TQ3: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Republican from your district or the Democrat from your district?

Total

Date

Party ID

Registered Voters

Likely voters

Ideology - Lean

Ideology

2020 Presidential Vote

2020 Presidential Vote Choice

Gender

Age Group - 4 Ways

Age Group - 6 Ways

Generation

Ethnicity

Income

Education

Marital Status

Region - 4 Ways

Region - 9 Ways

12-AUG-2024

14-AUG-2024

17-AUG-2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Yes

No

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections

Probably going to vote in the elections

Possibly going to vote in the elections

May or may not vote in the elections

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

Probably not going to participate in the elections

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

Lean Republican

Lean Democrat

Do not lean either way

Strong liberal

Lean liberal

Moderate

Lean conservative

Strong conservative

Yes

No

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Silent

White

Black or African American

Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin

Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)

Other, specify

Less Than $50k

$50k-$74.9k

$75k-$99.9k

$100k+

Decline to answer

Less than high school degree

High school degree to less than 4-year

4-year college degree or more

Married

Single

Divorced

Separated

Widowed

Living with a partner

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

New England

Middle Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

Republican

40%

41%

40%

38%

88%

4%

27%

4%

40%

31%

45%

32%

29%

26%

27%

22%

27%

68%

8%

12%

13%

11%

25%

68%

79%

43%

29%

85%

5%

26%

45%

34%

33%

35%

42%

46%

33%

31%

37%

41%

42%

46%

33%

33%

42%

44%

52%

47%

18%

29%

27%

21%

36%

44%

44%

42%

28%

34%

41%

39%

44%

33%

43%

38%

44%

34%

36%

42%

44%

34%

29%

38%

43%

40%

41%

46%

47%

36%

33%

Democrat

40%

37%

41%

43%

4%

88%

27%

5%

41%

25%

44%

48%

32%

27%

28%

44%

24%

9%

72%

10%

79%

78%

41%

17%

13%

45%

27%

5%

84%

17%

38%

43%

42%

40%

38%

43%

38%

45%

39%

39%

38%

43%

42%

42%

37%

42%

41%

35%

62%

44%

47%

28%

39%

38%

41%

45%

28%

25%

37%

48%

41%

43%

39%

29%

38%

38%

46%

41%

36%

44%

47%

45%

41%

40%

38%

28%

35%

41%

46%

Other

4%

4%

4%

5%

1%

1%

13%

9%

4%

4%

3%

6%

13%

10%

16%

4%

5%

7%

7%

21%

2%

2%

8%

3%

1%

3%

7%

3%

2%

24%

4%

5%

6%

7%

3%

1%

6%

8%

6%

4%

2%

1%

6%

7%

4%

2%

0%

3%

5%

6%

7%

3%

5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

5%

5%

3%

3%

5%

3%

7%

2%

7%

4%

4%

4%

5%

8%

3%

4%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

6%

Would not vote

4%

5%

3%

3%

1%

2%

9%

24%

3%

22%

1%

2%

2%

9%

3%

17%

22%

3%

3%

17%

2%

3%

7%

2%

2%

1%

14%

0%

1%

1%

3%

5%

5%

4%

5%

1%

6%

4%

4%

6%

4%

1%

5%

4%

5%

3%

2%

4%

3%

5%

6%

5%

6%

4%

2%

1%

5%

15%

5%

1%

3%

4%

4%

9%

5%

7%

5%

4%

4%

4%

5%

4%

3%

4%

3%

7%

3%

3%

5%

Unsure/Don't know

12%

12%

12%

11%

6%

5%

24%

58%

11%

19%

8%

13%

25%

27%

26%

13%

22%

14%

10%

40%

3%

6%

19%

11%

5%

8%

22%

7%

8%

32%

10%

13%

14%

13%

12%

8%

16%

12%

13%

11%

13%

8%

14%

13%

11%

11%

6%

10%

12%

16%

12%

43%

13%

10%

9%

9%

36%

21%

13%

9%

10%

14%

11%

16%

11%

14%

10%

10%

13%

13%

11%

9%

9%

13%

14%

15%

10%

16%

11%

Unweighted Sample

3,203

1,074

1,067

1,062

1,172

1,195

736

100

3,020

183

2,210

253

107

181

38

61

170

215

194

327

380

447

1,295

540

541

2,478

725

1,169

1,241

68

1,606

1,597

387

781

1,168

867

205

403

560

543

625

867

286

758

890

1,115

154

2,311

455

278

111

48

1,370

684

457

631

61

162

1,880

1,161

1,323

872

456

72

224

256

573

688

1,336

606

129

444

507

181

714

211

411

217

389

Nature of Sample

Total

Gender

Male 100%
Female 49%

Age

18-34 51%
35-49 23%
50-64 26%
65+ 28%

Ethnicity

White 23%
Black/AA 68%
Hispanic 13%
Asian 13%
Other 5%

Political ideology

Liberal 1%
Moderate 24%
Conservative 39%

Party ID

Republican 37%
Democrat 36%
Independent 36%
Other 25%